The Gold Coast skipper has gone from $1.50 to $2.75 to win his third medal.
Sportingbet’s AFL analysts predict Ablett maintains a six vote lead over Scott Pendlebury ($7 into $4) after Round 16.
Top contenders Josh Kennedy ($9 to $7), Joel Selwood ($21 to $15) and Travis Boak ($26 to $17) have also firmed in Brownlow betting.
"Ablett has been favourite since we opened betting and we’ve written four-times more tickets for him compared to any other player so there’s plenty of punters sweating on a positive outcome," Sportingbet's Andrew Brown said.
It’s possible that an ineligible player might finish the season with the most Brownlow votes for the first time since Chris Grant in 1997.
In Sportingbet’s ‘Most Brownlow Medal Votes Without Ablett’ market, Scott Pendlebury and Nathan Fyfe (ineligible) share $3.25 favouritism in front of Josh Kennedy at $5, while Steve Johnson (ineligible) is a $13 fourth pick.
Sportingbet’s analysts award half votes when they can’t split certain player performances, a system that has proven to balance out over the course of the season and provide a more accurate prediction of a player’s final vote numbers.
| Player | Team | Round 16 Votes | Overall |
| Gary Ablett [GC] | GC | 0 | 24.5 |
| Scott Pendlebury [COL] | COL | 0 | 18.5 |
| Nathan Fyfe [FRE] | FRE | 2 | 18 |
| Josh Kennedy [SYD] | SYD | 0 | 17.5 |
| Steve Johnson [GEE] | GEE | 1.5 | 14 |
| Nathan Jones [MEL] | MEL | 0 | 13.5 |
| Brent Harvey [NTH] | NTH | 1 | 13.5 |
| Aaron Sandilands [FRE] | FRE | 0 | 13 |
| Joel Selwood [GEE] | GEE | 0 | 12.5 |
| Matthew Priddis [WCE] | WCE | 1 | 12.5 |
| Marc Murphy [CAR] | CAR | 2 | 12 |
| Scott Thompson [ADE] | ADE | 0 | 11.5 |
| Lance Franklin [SYD] | SYD | 0 | 11.5 |
| Trent Cotchin [RIC] | RIC | 2 | 11.5 |
| Rory Sloane [ADE] | ADE | 3 | 11.5 |
| Dayne Beams [COL] | COL | 0 | 11 |
| Jobe Watson [ESS] | ESS | 0 | 10.5 |
| Callan Ward [GWS] | GWS | 0 | 10.5 |
| Patrick Dangerfield [ADE] | ADE | 0 | 10.5 |
| Nick Dal Santo [NTH] | NTH | 1.5 | 10.5 |
| Jimmy Bartel [GEE] | GEE | 0 | 10 |
| Travis Boak [PTA] | PTA | 0 | 10 |
| Tom Liberatore [WBU] | WBU | 1 | 10 |
| Michael Barlow [FRE] | FRE | 1.5 | 10 |
Sportingbet’s running Brownlow Medal vote tally